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Prediction Markets Assess Odds of Trump’s Potential 2025 China Visit
Prediction Markets Assess Odds of Trump’s Potential 2025 China Visit
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BTCCSquare news:
Traders on prediction platforms are placing nearly even odds on former U.S. President Donald TRUMP visiting China before the end of 2025. Myriad Markets shows a 48% probability, while Polymarket's broader "Trump travel in 2025" contract prices China visits at 52%. The activity follows reports from Reuters and WSJ suggesting Beijing has extended an invitation.
Kalshi's regulated event-futures exchange reveals stronger conviction, with a 73% chance priced in for a Trump-Xi Jinping meeting this year—an event that would likely require an official state visit. Resolution criteria vary by platform, with Myriad requiring physical entry confirmed by WHITE House statements or major wire services.
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